SCHOOL BUS MARKET – GROWTH, TRENDS, COVID-19 IMPACT, AND FORECAST (2021 – 2026)
The School Bus Market has been segmented on the basis of Power-train Type (IC Engine, Electric, and Hybrid), capacity Design (Type A, Type B, Type C, Type D), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Rest of the world). The Report offers Market sizes and Forecasts for the Global Bus Market in value( USD billion) for all the above segments.
2018 – 2026
Fastest Growing Market:
The School bus market was valued at USD 3.71 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach a value of USD 5.44 billion by 2026 registering a CAGR of around 6.59% of during forecast period.
In wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the global bus market is expected to witness a nominal growth due to continuous lockdown and travel restrictions across the world. Many schools were still closed in some parts of region to maintain safety of children as there is high risk of contact of virus to children. However, due to availability of COVID-19 vaccine and educational expert’s assertion of missing practical knowledge for children, schools were permitted to reopen for higher class students first maintaining social distance norms and guidelines.
The advantage of school buses over the other modes of transport for students is also one of the reasons for augmenting the growth of the market during the forecast period. School buses are generally built with high safety standards, protective seating, rollover protection etc., The increasing global population, especially in countries such as China and India, has led to a rise in the number of children enrolling in schools. This resulted in the increased demand for a large number of schools and adequate infrastructure about the education industry, which includes transportation and other amenities.
The increasing adoption of electric vehicles in the commercial vehicle segment has influenced the school bus segment, which is expected to drive the North American school bus market during the forecast period. China is another major market as the country is witnessing a transition towards electric buses which could influence the school bus fleet as well. Middle East is expected to be one of the new emerging market as various companies has been importing high volumes of school buses, mainly from the Asian countries.
Scope of the Report
In general school bus is a type of bus owned, leased, contracted to, or operated by a school or school district and regularly used to transport students to and from school or school-related activities, but not including a charter bus or transit bus.
The scope of the report covers the latest trends and technologies followed by covid-19 impact in the market. The school bus report covers segmentation based on powertrain type, capacity design type, geography. By Power-train type the market is segmented into IC Engine and Electric and Hybrid, By capacity Design type the market is segmented into Type A, Type B, Type C, Type D and By Geography type the market segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and Rest of the world. For each segment market sizing and forecast have been done on basis of value (USD billion).
By Power Train Type
By Capacity Design Type
Rest of North America
Rest of Europe
Rest of Asia Pacific
Rest of the World
Middle East &Africa
Key Market Trends
Growing Interest Towards Electric Vehicles
The need for reducing emissions has increased the demand for alternative fuel powered vehicles for public transport and increasing adoption of electric vehicles in the commercial segment to influence the school bus market during the forecast period.
More than 95% of the school buses worldwide run-on fossil fuels especially diesel. Numerous studies worldwide have shown that inhaling diesel exhaust causes respiratory diseases which are seen widely in children who are the main commuters. Replacing all the school buses of only America itself with electric buses could avoid an average of 5.3 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions each year.
Electric buses give out zero emissions and their annual operating cost is almost half of a diesel bus. In Shenzhen, China, it is expected that the incentives for transit electric buses would also be extended towards school buses, thus increasing their adoption. Few states in the United States such as California, New York etc. and Quebec in Canada are also testing and adopting electric buses which is expected to drive the market. The district of California has been at the forefront in adoption of electric school buses. For instance,
Recently, California is planning to replace 200 polluting school buses with electric ones and is in plans to offer a funding of nearly US$ 70 million for the same.
In 2019, two Michigan school districts Ann Arbor and Roseville public schools ordered six Thomas Built Buses Saf-T-Liner C2 Jouley electric school buses.
North America To Lead The Market
The North America School Bus Market is anticipated to register a CAGR of over 4% during the forecast period (2021 – 2026). In the major North American countries, school transport is very organized and has been in existence for many decades. Hence, demand has been stable for the past few years and is expected to be similar over the forecast period.
The market for North American school buses is a consolidated one. The region is characterized by the presence of major school bus manufacturers who also cater to other countries. Blue Bird Corporation, IC Bus, Thomas Built Buses Inc. are the three main players who are expected to occupy a major share of the market. Other major companies are Collins Bus Corporation, Micro Bird, and Lion Electric company. Moreover, companies are introducing new features in their products to increase their market share.
Canadian school buses are more or less similar to their US counterparts both in terms of design and usage by school systems. Buses are sometimes marketed to customers in Canada differently than in the US. For instance, the Blue Bird All American was rebadged as the Blue Bird TX3 in Canada. Micro Bird and Lion Electric Company are the major school bus manufacturers from Canada.
In Mexico, along with the yellow school buses various other types of buses are used for student transport. Depending on capacity needs, vans and minibuses are also used. Mexico mainly imports used and old school buses from the US, but some newer ones are also imported and used school service. The school bus market is still in the nascent stage in Mexico with very few manufacturers having a production plant in the country
The school bus market is neither a fragmented nor consolidated one. The market is characterized by the presence of major school bus manufacturers who also cater to other countries. The market is mainly dominated by players based in United States, China and India. IC engines are expected to have a larger share whereas electric buses are expected to be fastest growing segment. For instance,
Proterra Inc. was contracted by the Virginia Department of General Services for supplying electric buses and installing charging stations in the state. This move allows the institutions, transit agencies, and universities in the state to buy Proterra’s electric buses and charging stations via the existing contract between the state and the company.
Thomas Built Buses received full California Air Resources Board (CARB) and Hybrid and Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Voucher Incentive Project (HVIP) certificates for its Type C electric bus, the Saf-T-Liner C2 Jouley which is powered by Proterra electric vehicle technology.
Recently in 2019, California is planning to replace 200 polluting school buses with electric ones and is in plans to offer a funding of nearly US$ 70 million for the same.
Blue Bird Corporation
Yutong Bus Co., Ltd.
Thomas Built Buses Inc.
IC Bus (Navistar International Corporation)
In February 2020, Thomas Built Buses showcased the Auto-Reversing Door feature for the company’s school bus portfolio first of its kind feature available on all versions of SafT-Liner C2 school bus to enhance its safety features. Moreover, the company is developing a prototype of new pedestrian detection technology in partnership with MITO Corporation and CUB Group to prevent pedestrian accidents outside of the school bus.
Recently, Daimler has invested USD 155 million in electric bus maker Proterra, with an aim of accelerating the development of electric commercial vehicles. The first product of this association between the two companies is an electric school bus from Daimler’s Thomas Built Bus division.